Minority Report

Russellville, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pope County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°47°0%
German model (ICON)67°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°47°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°35°0%
The average55°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°3%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average53°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 29%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°21%
US model (GFS)58°38°22%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°29%
German model (ICON)56°37°39%
Canadian model (GEM)52°37°33%
The average54°38°29%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.