Minority Report

Russellville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°1%
US model (GFS)58°39°19%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°14%
German model (ICON)58°38°40%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°19%
The average58°38°19%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°3%
US model (GFS)44°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)44°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°0%
The average44°33°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°27°0%
The average50°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°21°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.