Minority Report

Rustburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Campbell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 44°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 27%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°4%
US model (GFS)64°44°28%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°47%
German model (ICON)65°44°48%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°6%
The average65°44°27%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°7%
US model (GFS)52°36°4%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°6%
German model (ICON)54°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)55°39°0%
The average54°36°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°31°0%
The average51°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°28°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.