Minority Report

Ruston, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°1%
US model (GFS)75°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°53°0%
The average74°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°37°1%
US model (GFS)60°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°0%
German model (ICON)59°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°0%
The average60°41°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°39°3%
US model (GFS)60°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°0%
German model (ICON)58°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average58°37°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 67%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°40°61%
US model (GFS)62°41°56%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°74%
German model (ICON)50°40°80%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°65%
The average56°41°67%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.