Minority Report

Rutledge, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grainger County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 95 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 69%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°5%
US model (GFS)56°42°51%
European model (ECMWF)58°46°100%
German model (ICON)57°46°90%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°100%
The average56°42°69%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°41%
US model (GFS)44°35°45%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°92%
German model (ICON)46°40°28%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°62%
The average45°36°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°9%
German model (ICON)45°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°19%
The average45°32°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°22°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.