Minority Report

Sacramento, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sacramento County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 45°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 6%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°53°17%
US model (GFS)76°43°3%
European model (ECMWF)70°46°0%
German model (ICON)72°44°8%
Canadian model (GEM)74°39°0%
The average73°45°6%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 50°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°47°98%
US model (GFS)59°52°100%
European model (ECMWF)58°50°100%
German model (ICON)60°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)60°50°100%
The average60°50°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 48°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°47°2%
US model (GFS)63°51°16%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°0%
German model (ICON)64°48°5%
Canadian model (GEM)65°47°11%
The average63°48°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 49°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°48°91%
US model (GFS)67°53°87%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°89%
German model (ICON)57°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)67°45°87%
The average63°49°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.