Minority Report

Saint Albans, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 12%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°10%
US model (GFS)42°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°19%
German model (ICON)42°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°14%
The average42°30°12%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 28°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°29°26%
US model (GFS)38°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)39°27°0%
German model (ICON)38°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)38°24°0%
The average39°28°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 34°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 79%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°57%
US model (GFS)38°35°68%
European model (ECMWF)39°35°99%
German model (ICON)38°34°80%
Canadian model (GEM)37°35°90%
The average39°34°79%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 34°   Rain 50%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 50%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°46%
US model (GFS)40°35°57%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°53%
German model (ICON)41°35°59%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°33%
The average40°34°50%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.