Minority Report

Saint Anthony, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fremont County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)57°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°34°0%
German model (ICON)60°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average58°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 34°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°74%
US model (GFS)58°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)58°34°4%
German model (ICON)59°33°20%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°5%
The average58°34°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 74%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°74%
US model (GFS)44°35°60%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°90%
German model (ICON)45°39°80%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°68%
The average46°35°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°6%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°10%
The average48°29°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.