Minority Report

Saint Augustine, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Johns County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 59°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—56°5%
US model (GFS)76°58°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°60°4%
German model (ICON)74°60°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°61°2%
The average75°59°2%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 50°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°47°0%
US model (GFS)67°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°53°1%
German model (ICON)68°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°52°5%
The average68°50°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°53°0%
US model (GFS)60°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°45°0%
German model (ICON)60°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°0%
The average60°45°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°59°2%
US model (GFS)66°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°0%
German model (ICON)66°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°45°0%
The average66°50°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.