Minority Report

Saint Clairsville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Belmont County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°47%
US model (GFS)48°39°93%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°91%
The average48°40°86%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 25%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°15%
US model (GFS)41°32°12%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°55%
German model (ICON)42°31°20%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°23%
The average44°32°25%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°17%
US model (GFS)41°34°23%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°16%
German model (ICON)44°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°33%
The average43°33°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°5%
US model (GFS)43°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°6%
German model (ICON)46°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°15%
The average45°34°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.