Minority Report

Saint Francis, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cheyenne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)64°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)64°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°33°0%
The average63°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°34°0%
The average58°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 36%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°35%
US model (GFS)52°28°32%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°31%
German model (ICON)52°36°30%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°50%
The average50°35°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°5%
US model (GFS)46°41°32%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°20%
German model (ICON)45°40°33%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°48%
The average47°37°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.