Minority Report

Saint Francisville, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of West Feliciana Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)74°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°54°0%
The average75°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°37°0%
US model (GFS)65°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°0%
German model (ICON)67°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°47°0%
The average66°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°41°0%
US model (GFS)64°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°1%
German model (ICON)63°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°43°0%
The average62°41°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 45°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 49%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°59%
US model (GFS)66°43°34%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°68%
German model (ICON)65°43°43%
Canadian model (GEM)65°45°42%
The average64°45°49%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.