Saint Ignace, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mackinac County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 41° Low 34° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 74% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 34° | 86% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 56% |
High 39° Low 33° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 32° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 35° | 63% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 32° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 19% |
| The average | 39° | 33° | 37% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 16%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 30° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 35° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 37° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 36° | 17% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 16% |
High 42° Low 35° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 36° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 35° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.