Minority Report

Saint John, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stafford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)62°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)61°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°36°0%
The average60°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°1%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°0%
The average52°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 47%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°35°59%
US model (GFS)48°31°32%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°57%
German model (ICON)52°32°23%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°65%
The average49°33°47%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 38°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°49%
US model (GFS)44°40°70%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°78%
German model (ICON)44°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°90%
The average45°38°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.