Minority Report

Saint Johns, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clinton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 73 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 75%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°27%
US model (GFS)46°36°60%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°100%
German model (ICON)44°37°90%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°96%
The average46°35°75%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°14%
US model (GFS)39°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°18%
German model (ICON)41°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)38°30°6%
The average40°31°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°1%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°0%
The average44°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)45°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°2%
German model (ICON)44°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average44°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.