Saint Johnsbury, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Caledonia County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 42° Low 32° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 28° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 33° | 79% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 34° | 35% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 30° | 24% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 37% |
High 40° Low 29° Rain 9%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 25° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 28° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 32° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 29° | 14% |
| The average | 40° | 29° | 9% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 27° | 46% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 33° | 65% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 33° | 16% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 32° | 31% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 37% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 15%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 26° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 30° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 34° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 34° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 32° | 8% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 15% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.