Saint Joseph, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Berrien County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 38° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 61% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 38° | 50% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 39° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 39° | 97% |
| The average | 49° | 38° | 73% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 35° | 56% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 34° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 65% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 31° | 60% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 52% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 37° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 35° | 60% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 38° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 28° | 88% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 74% |
High 46° Low 40° Rain 34%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 37° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 40° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 42° | 7% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 44° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 68% |
| The average | 46° | 40° | 34% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.