Minority Report

Saint Maries, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Benewah County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)62°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°38°0%
German model (ICON)67°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 24%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°55%
US model (GFS)61°46°9%
European model (ECMWF)65°38°17%
German model (ICON)67°42°15%
Canadian model (GEM)67°42°25%
The average65°42°24%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 70%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°35°53%
US model (GFS)50°39°57%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°86%
German model (ICON)53°42°70%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°86%
The average52°39°70%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 74%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°72%
US model (GFS)52°38°73%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°65%
German model (ICON)51°42°80%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°78%
The average52°39°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.