Minority Report

Saint Martinville, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Martin Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°51°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°43°0%
US model (GFS)71°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°50°0%
German model (ICON)70°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°0%
The average70°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 43°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°44°1%
US model (GFS)65°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°2%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°0%
The average64°43°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 68°   Low 46°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 49%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°48°59%
US model (GFS)69°46°37%
European model (ECMWF)63°48°67%
German model (ICON)69°45°45%
Canadian model (GEM)69°42°36%
The average68°46°49%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.