Minority Report

Saint Marys, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pleasants County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°65%
US model (GFS)50°44°72%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°100%
German model (ICON)51°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°100%
The average50°42°87%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 57%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°23%
US model (GFS)44°34°37%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°98%
German model (ICON)46°36°68%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°61%
The average47°35°57%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°3%
US model (GFS)44°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°8%
German model (ICON)46°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°14%
The average46°34°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°0%
German model (ICON)49°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°10%
The average47°35°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.