Minority Report

Saint Paul, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Howard County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°0%
US model (GFS)45°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°23°0%
The average46°27°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)39°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°17°0%
The average44°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°8%
US model (GFS)47°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°11%
The average46°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°5%
US model (GFS)50°39°4%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°14%
The average50°33°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.