Minority Report

Salem, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dent County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)56°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°10%
The average54°34°2%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°22°0%
US model (GFS)40°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average43°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°24°1%
US model (GFS)49°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)49°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average48°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°3%
US model (GFS)52°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°26°5%
The average52°29°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.