Minority Report

Salida, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chaffee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)64°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°23°0%
German model (ICON)62°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°20°0%
The average61°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 28°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°30°44%
US model (GFS)61°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°26°0%
German model (ICON)57°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°19°0%
The average58°28°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 31°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 56%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°63%
US model (GFS)47°36°48%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°69%
German model (ICON)52°35°33%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°67%
The average48°31°56%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 27°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°23°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)50°26°12%
German model (ICON)54°33°19%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°20%
The average52°27°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.