Minority Report

Salina, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Saline County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average55°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
German model (ICON)48°20°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°23°0%
The average48°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°13%
US model (GFS)51°25°4%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°1%
German model (ICON)52°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°26°11%
The average51°29°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°21%
US model (GFS)45°40°19%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°12%
German model (ICON)54°40°16%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°50%
The average50°36°24%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.