Minority Report

Salinas, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monterey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 51°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°24%
US model (GFS)79°48°4%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°0%
German model (ICON)73°51°13%
Canadian model (GEM)75°50°5%
The average74°51°9%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 53°   Rain 97%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°48°97%
US model (GFS)67°55°89%
European model (ECMWF)62°54°100%
German model (ICON)67°54°100%
Canadian model (GEM)60°54°100%
The average64°53°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 48°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°6%
US model (GFS)64°52°29%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°42%
German model (ICON)64°48°23%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°43%
The average64°48°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 49°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°49°90%
US model (GFS)66°51°85%
European model (ECMWF)66°49°78%
German model (ICON)66°49°95%
Canadian model (GEM)66°49°82%
The average66°49°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.