Minority Report

Salinas Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Salinas Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 46%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°20%
US model (GFS)87°78°42%
European model (ECMWF)91°79°100%
German model (ICON)89°75°60%
Canadian model (GEM)88°76°10%
The average89°77°46%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 78°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°78°50%
US model (GFS)86°79°39%
European model (ECMWF)90°79°94%
German model (ICON)89°78°18%
Canadian model (GEM)86°77°72%
The average88°78°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 87°   Low 79°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°77°40%
US model (GFS)86°79°48%
European model (ECMWF)88°78°96%
German model (ICON)87°81°36%
Canadian model (GEM)85°79°86%
The average87°79°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 88°   Low 76°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°75°3%
US model (GFS)88°77°4%
European model (ECMWF)90°76°14%
German model (ICON)89°76°5%
Canadian model (GEM)87°74°6%
The average88°76°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.