Minority Report

Salisbury, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wicomico County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 36%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°37%
US model (GFS)67°49°25%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°69%
German model (ICON)65°49°38%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°10%
The average67°48°36%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 23%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°28%
US model (GFS)49°39°4%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°25%
German model (ICON)51°37°25%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°33%
The average50°38°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°3%
US model (GFS)49°38°3%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°12%
German model (ICON)48°34°18%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°28%
The average48°36°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°0%
The average51°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.