Minority Report

Salmon, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lemhi County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)56°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°0%
German model (ICON)61°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°36°0%
The average58°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°31°64%
US model (GFS)63°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)58°44°0%
German model (ICON)61°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average59°37°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°23°64%
US model (GFS)52°31°62%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°88%
German model (ICON)51°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°62%
The average51°32°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 3%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°13%
US model (GFS)53°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°27°0%
The average53°31°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.