Minority Report

Saluda, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Middlesex County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 15%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°7%
US model (GFS)70°49°20%
European model (ECMWF)69°49°19%
German model (ICON)70°47°20%
Canadian model (GEM)70°47°11%
The average70°47°15%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 38°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°8%
US model (GFS)51°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°2%
German model (ICON)52°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°6%
The average53°38°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°6%
The average51°33°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°37°0%
The average54°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.