Minority Report

Salyersville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Magoffin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°45%
US model (GFS)56°44°88%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°100%
German model (ICON)54°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°95%
The average56°43°86%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 68%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°58%
US model (GFS)44°34°59%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°86%
German model (ICON)44°38°75%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°63%
The average45°35°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°2%
US model (GFS)45°32°22%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°5%
German model (ICON)45°34°20%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°14%
The average45°32°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°31°0%
The average48°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.