Minority Report

San Antonio, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bexar County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)80°58°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°59°0%
German model (ICON)76°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°51°0%
The average77°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°54°0%
US model (GFS)77°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°48°0%
The average76°52°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 71°   Low 56°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 77%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°59°64%
US model (GFS)69°55°60%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°96%
German model (ICON)68°56°80%
Canadian model (GEM)78°51°85%
The average71°56°77%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 57°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 83%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°55°76%
US model (GFS)74°60°60%
European model (ECMWF)73°56°99%
German model (ICON)74°58°78%
Canadian model (GEM)70°57°100%
The average72°57°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.