Minority Report

San Augustine, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Augustine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)78°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°54°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°0%
The average77°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°43°1%
US model (GFS)67°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°0%
German model (ICON)66°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°52°0%
The average68°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°42°14%
US model (GFS)65°44°4%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°10%
German model (ICON)60°40°6%
Canadian model (GEM)62°48°0%
The average62°44°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 45°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°81%
US model (GFS)63°46°69%
European model (ECMWF)51°46°93%
German model (ICON)50°46°76%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°75%
The average56°45°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.