Minority Report

San Bernardino, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Bernardino County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 80°   Low 53°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service81°55°35%
US model (GFS)83°50°17%
European model (ECMWF)82°51°4%
German model (ICON)81°56°25%
Canadian model (GEM)75°52°10%
The average80°53°18%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 55°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°52°74%
US model (GFS)71°58°54%
European model (ECMWF)66°55°98%
German model (ICON)67°55°48%
Canadian model (GEM)62°55°86%
The average67°55°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 53°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 72%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°48°48%
US model (GFS)65°58°67%
European model (ECMWF)69°55°100%
German model (ICON)68°54°53%
Canadian model (GEM)62°48°91%
The average66°53°72%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 51°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°52°12%
US model (GFS)68°56°5%
European model (ECMWF)68°50°6%
German model (ICON)69°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°46°7%
The average69°51°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.