Minority Report

San Diego, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Diego County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 58°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 37%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°61°74%
US model (GFS)78°62°26%
European model (ECMWF)81°56°10%
German model (ICON)77°58°23%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°52%
The average78°58°37%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 61°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 79%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°62°74%
US model (GFS)71°62°65%
European model (ECMWF)68°60°96%
German model (ICON)68°63°63%
Canadian model (GEM)69°60°95%
The average69°61°79%

Saturday, November 14

High 70°   Low 60°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°57°68%
US model (GFS)68°63°53%
European model (ECMWF)70°60°98%
German model (ICON)72°63°65%
Canadian model (GEM)70°55°81%
The average70°60°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 57°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 19%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°58°55%
US model (GFS)71°66°32%
European model (ECMWF)72°53°1%
German model (ICON)71°58°3%
Canadian model (GEM)71°52°5%
The average71°57°19%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.