Minority Report

San Diego, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Duval County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 57°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°0%
US model (GFS)77°60°1%
European model (ECMWF)78°59°0%
German model (ICON)77°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)80°56°0%
The average78°57°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°55°20%
US model (GFS)73°55°1%
European model (ECMWF)78°57°0%
German model (ICON)75°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°50°0%
The average76°54°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 77°   Low 60°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°63°40%
US model (GFS)74°59°47%
European model (ECMWF)78°60°48%
German model (ICON)75°60°63%
Canadian model (GEM)83°57°33%
The average77°60°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 81°   Low 63°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°57°37%
US model (GFS)80°66°37%
European model (ECMWF)82°60°82%
German model (ICON)79°66°38%
Canadian model (GEM)87°67°67%
The average81°63°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.