San Jose, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Santa Clara County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 75° Low 50° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 52° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 75° | 49° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 54° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 50° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 44° | 3% |
| The average | 75° | 50° | 6% |
High 61° Low 50° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 62° | 45° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 53° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 52° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 52° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 48° | 100% |
| The average | 61° | 50° | 99% |
High 65° Low 47° Rain 17%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 65° | 45° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 66° | 52° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 46° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 48° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 45° | 33% |
| The average | 65° | 47° | 17% |
High 64° Low 49° Rain 90%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 65° | 47° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 54° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 49° | 89% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 51° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 46° | 90% |
| The average | 64° | 49° | 90% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.