Minority Report

San Juan Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Juan Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 91°   Low 76°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 34%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—80°30%
US model (GFS)91°76°13%
European model (ECMWF)90°77°91%
German model (ICON)91°73°35%
Canadian model (GEM)93°72°0%
The average91°76°34%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 77°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°80°20%
US model (GFS)90°76°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°78°45%
German model (ICON)91°77°5%
Canadian model (GEM)93°76°0%
The average90°77°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 91°   Low 78°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°79°30%
US model (GFS)91°78°0%
European model (ECMWF)88°78°81%
German model (ICON)92°80°13%
Canadian model (GEM)94°77°0%
The average91°78°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 91°   Low 75°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°78°1%
US model (GFS)90°75°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°1%
German model (ICON)93°72°0%
Canadian model (GEM)94°73°0%
The average91°75°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.