Minority Report

San Lorenzo Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Lorenzo Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 87°   Low 74°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—75°30%
US model (GFS)84°74°26%
European model (ECMWF)87°75°91%
German model (ICON)87°73°40%
Canadian model (GEM)90°72°33%
The average87°74°44%

Friday, November 13

High 86°   Low 76°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 42%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°75°30%
US model (GFS)83°75°23%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°45%
German model (ICON)87°77°15%
Canadian model (GEM)89°75°95%
The average86°76°42%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 76°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 50%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°74°50%
US model (GFS)83°75°20%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°81%
German model (ICON)87°79°8%
Canadian model (GEM)90°76°93%
The average86°76°50%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 73°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°73°4%
US model (GFS)84°73°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°74°1%
German model (ICON)88°74°10%
Canadian model (GEM)89°71°14%
The average87°73°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.