San Rafael, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marin County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 69° Low 53° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 55° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 50° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 54° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 54° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 52° | 2% |
| The average | 69° | 53° | 10% |
High 62° Low 52° Rain 100%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 61° | 50° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 51° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 54° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 53° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 54° | 100% |
| The average | 62° | 52° | 100% |
High 63° Low 52° Rain 21%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 64° | 52° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 51° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 51° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 52° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 53° | 24% |
| The average | 63° | 52° | 21% |
High 62° Low 52° Rain 93%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 62° | 48° | 84% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 53° | 89% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 54° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 52° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 54° | 95% |
| The average | 62° | 52° | 93% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.