Minority Report

San Sebastián Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Sebastián Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 91°   Low 72°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 54%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—72°0%
US model (GFS)91°73°84%
European model (ECMWF)90°72°91%
German model (ICON)92°70°60%
Canadian model (GEM)92°71°35%
The average91°72°54%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 74°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°72°20%
US model (GFS)89°74°3%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°8%
German model (ICON)92°73°8%
Canadian model (GEM)90°74°6%
The average90°74°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 91°   Low 74°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°71°30%
US model (GFS)89°75°6%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°69%
German model (ICON)92°75°8%
Canadian model (GEM)92°74°32%
The average91°74°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 92°   Low 73°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 21%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°69°30%
US model (GFS)92°73°3%
European model (ECMWF)92°74°41%
German model (ICON)93°74°24%
Canadian model (GEM)92°72°5%
The average92°73°21%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.