Minority Report

Sand Point, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aleutians East Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 32°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°30°22%
US model (GFS)38°33°55%
European model (ECMWF)35°32°22%
German model (ICON)37°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°19%
The average37°32°24%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 31°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 23%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°30°31%
US model (GFS)36°32°48%
European model (ECMWF)35°31°12%
German model (ICON)36°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°19%
The average36°31°23%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 32°   Rain 61%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°31°49%
US model (GFS)39°33°74%
European model (ECMWF)37°32°67%
German model (ICON)40°34°49%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°65%
The average38°32°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 39°   Low 34°   Rain 55%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°32°52%
US model (GFS)37°34°59%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°55%
German model (ICON)40°36°48%
Canadian model (GEM)40°37°62%
The average39°34°55%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.