Minority Report

Sanderson, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Terrell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 52°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 3%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°0%
US model (GFS)68°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°2%
German model (ICON)69°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°50°14%
The average70°52°3%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 51°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°53°79%
US model (GFS)67°52°20%
European model (ECMWF)69°53°2%
German model (ICON)67°50°18%
Canadian model (GEM)72°48°10%
The average69°51°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 69°   Low 53°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°55°6%
US model (GFS)66°52°61%
European model (ECMWF)69°54°73%
German model (ICON)68°54°63%
Canadian model (GEM)74°50°38%
The average69°53°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 52°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 4%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°49°0%
US model (GFS)74°57°1%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°14%
German model (ICON)73°54°3%
Canadian model (GEM)72°48°0%
The average71°52°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.