Minority Report

Sandpoint, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bonner County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)52°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°0%
German model (ICON)59°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°0%
The average56°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 16%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°69%
US model (GFS)60°44°6%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°0%
German model (ICON)60°47°3%
Canadian model (GEM)59°41°4%
The average59°44°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 43°   Rain 66%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°37°69%
US model (GFS)48°44°57%
European model (ECMWF)53°48°57%
German model (ICON)50°45°63%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°83%
The average50°43°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 42°   Rain 82%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°40°81%
US model (GFS)48°41°76%
European model (ECMWF)49°45°76%
German model (ICON)48°46°85%
Canadian model (GEM)49°40°90%
The average49°42°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.