Minority Report

Sandusky, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sanilac County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 63%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°76%
US model (GFS)46°38°28%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°98%
German model (ICON)46°39°80%
Canadian model (GEM)45°40°34%
The average46°37°63%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°85%
US model (GFS)41°34°56%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°96%
German model (ICON)40°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°38%
The average40°33°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 47%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°54%
US model (GFS)42°35°40%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°29%
German model (ICON)43°34°63%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°49%
The average42°34°47%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°14%
US model (GFS)43°39°6%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°4%
German model (ICON)45°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°10%
The average43°32°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.