Minority Report

Sandy Hook, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Elliott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°53%
US model (GFS)55°43°89%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°45°95%
The average54°43°87%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 66%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°52%
US model (GFS)46°34°50%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°92%
German model (ICON)45°37°75%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°63%
The average46°34°66%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°17%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)45°31°14%
The average46°32°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°2%
German model (ICON)50°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.