Minority Report

Sanford, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 46°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)71°48°18%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°29%
German model (ICON)71°47°33%
Canadian model (GEM)72°46°0%
The average71°46°16%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°12%
US model (GFS)57°40°7%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°12%
German model (ICON)58°40°5%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°0%
The average58°39°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°9%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°0%
The average54°34°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)56°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.