Santa Barbara, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Santa Barbara County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 72° Low 59° Rain 38%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 56° | 52% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 57° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 72° | 59° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 64° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 72° | 60° | 48% |
| The average | 72° | 59° | 38% |
High 68° Low 57° Rain 88%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 73° | 52° | 90% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 58° | 75% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 57° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 67° | 62° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 65° | 57° | 100% |
| The average | 68° | 57° | 88% |
High 69° Low 54° Rain 16%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 50° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 56° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 51° | 28% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 58° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 53° | 49% |
| The average | 69° | 54° | 16% |
High 69° Low 55° Rain 17%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 50° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 69° | 60° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 69° | 50° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 69° | 61° | 7% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 55° | 5% |
| The average | 69° | 55° | 17% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.