Santa Cruz, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Santa Cruz County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 68° Low 55° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 69° | 54° | 46% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 53° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 58° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 69° | 57° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 54° | 8% |
| The average | 68° | 55° | 22% |
High 61° Low 52° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 62° | 47° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 54° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 53° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 54° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 50° | 100% |
| The average | 61° | 52° | 99% |
High 63° Low 50° Rain 15%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 64° | 48° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 53° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 49° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 50° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 49° | 34% |
| The average | 63° | 50° | 15% |
High 62° Low 52° Rain 93%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 63° | 49° | 96% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 56° | 88% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 53° | 88% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 52° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 50° | 95% |
| The average | 62° | 52° | 93% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.