Minority Report

Santa Fe, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Santa Fe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)61°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°34°0%
German model (ICON)59°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°35°0%
The average58°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°68%
US model (GFS)56°39°19%
European model (ECMWF)55°34°55%
German model (ICON)55°35°38%
Canadian model (GEM)58°34°33%
The average57°36°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°81%
US model (GFS)47°36°87%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°98%
German model (ICON)44°37°95%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°55%
The average45°35°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°1%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°2%
The average50°33°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.