Santa Rosa, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sonoma County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 71° Low 46° Rain 16%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 49° | 43% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 45° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 71° | 48° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 42° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 72° | 46° | 5% |
| The average | 71° | 46° | 16% |
High 59° Low 48° Rain 100%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 60° | 44° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 48° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 50° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 48° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 50° | 100% |
| The average | 59° | 48° | 100% |
High 62° Low 46° Rain 24%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 64° | 46° | 52% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 48° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 46° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 45° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 45° | 29% |
| The average | 62° | 46° | 24% |
High 59° Low 49° Rain 96%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 60° | 43° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 53° | 96% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 47° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 47° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 52° | 96% |
| The average | 59° | 49° | 96% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.